You have to test your hypothesis against other theories. Certainty in the face of complex situations is very dangerous.

-- Richard Holbrooke 霍尔布鲁克

你必须用其他理论来检验你的假设。在复杂的情况下，确定性是非常危险的。

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Certainty Dangerous

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I believe there is no doctrine more dangerous to the Church today than to convey the impression that a revival is something peculiar in itself and cannot be judged by the same rules of causes and effect as other things.

我相信，对于今天的教会来说，最危险的教义莫过于传达这样一种印象:复兴本身就是一种特殊的东西，不能像评判其他事物那样，用同样的因果法则来评判。

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I never imagined it wouldn't work out for me. I had that absolute certainty in myself that has seen me through, I think, and my parents were absolutely behind me all the way.

我从来没想过我不会成功。我对自己有绝对的信心，我想，正是这种信心帮助我度过了难关，而我的父母一直在我身后支持着我。

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It is only of life on Earth, however, that one can speak with any certainty. It seems to me that all life on Earth, the sum total of life upon the Earth, has purpose.

然而，只有关于地球上的生命，人们才能有把握地说出来。在我看来，地球上所有的生命，地球上所有生命的总和，都是有目的的。

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In some causes silence is dangerous.

在某些方面，沉默是危险的。

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