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Probability and expectation are not the same. Its probability and probability times the pay off.

  • -- Nassim Nicholas Taleb 纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布

概率和期望是不一样的。它的概率和概率乘以回报。

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Fact Time

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All pictures are unnatural. All pictures are sad because they're about dead people. Paintings you don't think of in a special time or with a specific event. With photos I always think I'm looking at something dead.

所有的图画都是不自然的。所有的照片都很悲伤，因为它们是关于死人的。你不会在一个特殊的时间或特定的事件中想到绘画。拍照片的时候，我总觉得自己在看一些死去的东西。

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The noir hero is a knight in blood caked armor. He's dirty and he does his best to deny the fact that he's a hero the whole time.

黑色英雄是一个穿着血块盔甲的骑士。他很脏，他尽力否认自己一直是个英雄的事实。

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Superstition? Who can define the boundary line between the superstition of yesterday and the scientific fact of tomorrow?

迷信?谁能确定昨天的迷信和明天的科学事实之间的界线呢?

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Children begin by loving their parents; after a time they judge them; rarely, if ever, do they forgive them.

孩子从爱父母开始;过了一段时间，他们审判他们;他们很少会原谅他们。

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