Probability and expectation are not the same. Its probability and probability times the pay off.

  • -- Nassim Nicholas Taleb 纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布

概率和期望是不一样的。它的概率和概率乘以回报。

相关名言

There are some actors that are so gifted, that move you in such a way that every time you see their names again, you go and pay another ticket because you want to have that experience again.

有一些演员很有天赋,每次你再次看到他们的名字时,你都会为他们再次买票,因为你想再次体验那种经历。

My happy weight changes. Sometimes I eat more; sometimes I play more. I'll be different sizes all the time.

我快乐的体重变了。有时我吃得更多;有时我玩得更多。我会一直穿不同的尺码。

Somebody who never got over the embarrassing fact that he was born in bed with a lady.

他从未忘记自己与一位女士同床而生的尴尬事实。

Darwin himself recorded the fact that he accepted the Malthusian idea.

达尔文自己记录了他接受马尔萨斯观点的事实。