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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

区分信号和噪声需要科学知识和自我知识。

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I take what I see work. I'm a strict believer in the scientific principle of believing nothing, only taking the best evidence available at the present time, interpreting it as best you can, and leaving your mind open to the fact that new evidence will appear tomorrow.

我接受我所看到的工作。我坚信“什么都不相信”的科学原则，只接受目前最好的证据，尽你所能去解释它，并让你的大脑接受明天将会出现新证据的事实。

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Very few people possess true artistic ability. It is therefore both unseemly and unproductive to irritate the situation by making an effort. If you have a burning, restless urge to write or paint, simply eat something sweet and the feeling will pass.

很少有人有真正的艺术才能。因此，通过努力来刺激局势既不合适，也没有效果。如果你有一种强烈的，不安分的写作或绘画的冲动，只要吃点甜食，这种感觉就会过去。

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Love's boat has been shattered against the life of everyday. You and I are quits, and it's useless to draw up a list of mutual hurts, sorrows, and pains.

爱情的小船已被日常生活撞得粉碎。你和我已经分手了，列一张相互伤害、悲伤和痛苦的清单是没有用的。

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Scientific theory is a contrived foothold in the chaos of living phenomena.

科学理论是人为地立足于混沌的生活现象。

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