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The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

做出好的预测的关键不在于将自己局限于定量信息。

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Good Yourself Making

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I have always been making art from an early age but for nearly forty years did computer programming to earn a living. I bought a house and put my wife and three children through college. Now that diversion is over so I can finally paint full time.

我从小就一直从事艺术创作，但近四十年来一直靠电脑编程谋生。我买了一栋房子，供妻子和三个孩子上大学。现在这种消遣结束了，我终于可以全职画画了。

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When in doubt, make a fool of yourself. There is a microscopically thin line between being brilliantly creative and acting like the most gigantic idiot on earth. So what the hell, leap.

拿不准的时候，就把自己当傻瓜。在极具创造力和表现得像地球上最大的白痴之间，只有极其细微的差别。那又怎样，跳吧。

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Alcohol is necessary for a man so that he can have a good opinion of himself, undisturbed be the facts.

酒精对一个人来说是必要的，这样他才能对自己有一个好的评价，而不受事实的干扰。

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Courage is doing what you are afraid to do. There can be no courage unless you are scared.

勇气是做你害怕做的事。没有恐惧就没有勇气。

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Good can exist without evil, whereas evil cannot exist without good.

善无恶而存，恶无善而存。

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Today they're making pictures that I wouldn't want Trigger to see.

今天他们在拍我不想让触发器看到的照片。

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