The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

做出好的预测的关键不在于将自己局限于定量信息。

相关名言

There's always someone asking you to underline one piece of yourself - whether it's Black, woman, mother, dyke, teacher, etc. - because that's the piece that they need to key in to. They want to dismiss everything else.

总会有人让你在自己的某一部分下划线——不管是黑人、女性、母亲、堤坝、老师等等——因为这是他们需要重点强调的部分。他们想要忽略其他一切。

I'm not an easy person to love. There are lots of times when I'm a very good boyfriend, but there are times when I'm useless. I mean, I'm a mess around the house. I talk nonstop. I become obsessed with things.

我不是一个容易被爱的人。有很多时候我是一个很好的男朋友,但也有很多时候我是无用的。我的意思是,我把房子弄得一团糟。我聊起来没完没了。我对事物很着迷。

The unfortunate thing about working for yourself is that you have the worst boss in the world. I work every day of the year except at Christmas, when I work a half day.

为自己工作的不幸之处在于,你的老板是世界上最糟糕的。除了圣诞节,我每天工作半天。

I think this, I think basically I'm not interested in people following my work or making work like my work.

我想,基本上我对人们追随我的工作或者像我一样工作不感兴趣。

For my scale, how I grew up and live my life, I'm making plenty of money.

就我的体重,我是如何长大和生活的而言,我赚了很多钱。

When there are dogs and music, people have a good time.

当有狗和音乐的时候,人们玩得很开心。