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Statistically, the probability of any one of us being here is so small that you'd think the mere fact of existing would keep us all in a contented dazzlement of surprise.

  • -- Lewis Thomas 路易斯·汤马斯

从统计数据上看，我们当中任何一个人在这里的可能性是如此之小，以至于你会认为，仅仅是存在的事实就会让我们所有人都感到满足和惊喜。

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Probability Statistically

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It would be so weird if we knew just as much as we needed to know to answer all the questions of the universe. Wouldn't that be freaky? Whereas the probability is high that there is a vast reality that we have no way to perceive, that's actually bearing down on us now and influencing everything.

如果我们能知道足够多的东西来回答宇宙的所有问题，那就太奇怪了。这不是很奇怪吗?虽然有很高的可能性是存在着一个我们无法感知的巨大现实，但这实际上正在向我们施加压力，影响着一切。

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If scientific reasoning were limited to the logical processes of arithmetic, we should not get very far in our understanding of the physical world. One might as well attempt to grasp the game of poker entirely by the use of the mathematics of probability.

如果科学推理局限于算术的逻辑过程，我们对物理世界的理解就不会走得太远。人们不妨尝试完全利用概率数学来把握扑克游戏。

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The whole secret to our success is being able to con ourselves into believing that we're going to change the world because statistically we are unlikely to do it.

我们成功的全部秘诀是能够说服自己相信我们将改变世界，因为从统计上看，我们不太可能做到这一点。

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